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The worst oil and gas supply shock in history has exposed the vulnerability of dependence on fossil fuel imports and is making renewables popular again. As governments scramble to contain the fallout from the energy shock, both in supply and prices, increased electrification in transportation and power generation is once again the talk of the town. As the war in the Middle East laid bare the shock of losing oil and gas supply, policymakers and analysts are once again considering the benefits of fossil fuel importers boosting the share of renewable…
The global oil market has been on a rollercoaster since late February, but the price reaction to the largest supply disruption in history has been relatively muted. The calm was not complacency; buffers were there to absorb the shock. But the system that held for four weeks is no longer the system we are operating in today. The oil market did not underreact to the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz; it absorbed it. For nearly four weeks, markets have shown remarkable resilience in the face of disruption, supported by a combination of pre-war surplus,…
The United States energy grid is in an extremely vulnerable position. Aging and underfunded, the grid is already being stressed to its limits by skyrocketing energy demand on the part of data centers as well as increasingly complicated energy flows introduced by solar and wind power. Building and maintaining a resilient energy grid will require a huge investment into expanding, reinforcing, and updating the grid – but in the meantime, all that expansion leaves the United States extremely vulnerable to cyberattack, according to security experts.…
The war in the Middle East and the halt of about 20% of global LNG trade flows are strengthening the case for increased LNG exports out of Western Canada. The political stability and the proximity to Asian markets make Canada’s Pacific Coast the perfect source of additional LNG supply to ease the strain on gas markets, which suddenly flipped from an expected glut for the rest of the decade to a major supply shortage that would take years to overcome. Canada would have been ideally positioned to fill in the gap. If only it had more than one…
The war in Iran and the resulting energy shock could revive China’s interest in a long-stalled pipeline to import Russian gas, analysts told RFE/RL, potentially reshaping Beijing’s energy strategy. As countries are facing an energy shock after Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz, halting oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) flows from the Gulf, Beijing is grappling with the potential loss of discounted Iranian oil and the risk of prolonged market disruption, prompting a rethink of its reliance on a chokepoint that carries roughly 40 percent…
