With over 90% of Iraq’s annual budget still coming from oil exports and historically around 95% of that crude shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, securing an alternative export route while the Strait remains effectively blockaded has become an existential matter for Baghdad.  Aside from the billions lost in immediate oil revenues for OPEC’s second-largest oil producer, the blockade meant Iraq’s domestic oil storage tanks filled quickly to maximum capacity, forcing the shutdown of several production wells. The longer that…

A Texas-based oil company chaired by an entrepreneur thought to be close to U.S. President Donald Trump is moving drilling equipment in Greenland in preparation for an oil drilling campaign. However, the drilling plans or the moving of the equipment have not been authorized by the Greenland authorities yet, although a process to do so is under review at present. That’s why Greenland’s government has recently said a strong warning would be sent to the licensee “with a warning that all future logistical matters must be advised and…

The strangest part of America's latest offshore-wind retreat is not that several projects have been cancelled. Some were early-stage, expensive and increasingly difficult to permit. Weak projects should be allowed to fail. The strange part is that the U.S. government is paying companies to abandon one energy technology and directing their capital toward another. Between March and August, the Department of the Interior reached a series of agreements worth approximately $3.9 billion with TotalEnergies, Bluepoint Wind, Golden State Wind, Invenergy,…

Complex systems reveal their true characteristics only under stress. Disturbance exposes assumptions that routine operation conceals and becomes the catalyst for adaptation. Capital reassesses risk, governments reconsider policy, and markets establish a new equilibrium. The resulting system may ultimately prove stronger than the one that preceded it, but it is never identical. Recent developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz provide one such moment. Whether they ultimately prove to be a lasting geopolitical inflection point remains uncertain.…

Bank of America (BoFA) is warning that oil prices could continue climbing into the winter if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with severe shortages already emerging in diesel, gasoline and global natural gas markets. “We’ve been expecting oil to be in the $70 to $80 a barrel range for Brent on the assumption that we were going to see some resolution,” Francisco Blanch, Bank of America’s head of commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC on Monday. “But if we don’t,…

Bank of America (BoFA) is warning that oil prices could continue climbing into the winter if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with severe shortages already emerging in diesel, gasoline and global natural gas markets. “We’ve been expecting oil to be in the $70 to $80 a barrel range for Brent on the assumption that we were going to see some resolution,” Francisco Blanch, Bank of America’s head of commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC on Monday. “But if we don’t,…

Bank of America (BoFA) is warning that oil prices could continue climbing into the winter if the U.S. and Iran fail to reach an agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with severe shortages already emerging in diesel, gasoline and global natural gas markets. “We’ve been expecting oil to be in the $70 to $80 a barrel range for Brent on the assumption that we were going to see some resolution,” Francisco Blanch, Bank of America’s head of commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC on Monday. “But if we don’t,…

Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has replaced Mohammad Baqer Zolqard as his representative on the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), appointing the veteran commander Mohsen Rezaei as the new secretary of the council. The move came after days of speculation in Iranian media about Zolqadr’s fate, with rumors suggesting that he had submitted his resignation only for President Masud Pezeshkian, who on paper is the head of the SNSC, to reject it. The president formally chairs the SNSC, but in practice it's the secretary who…

Egypt and Libya are reportedly nearing a deal to build an 800-kilometer oil pipeline connecting Tobruk with Alexandria, creating a direct route for growing Libyan crude production to reach Egyptian refineries as the war with Iran disrupts Egypt’s traditional Gulf supplies. The proposed pipeline would cost more than $1 billion, according to a government official who spoke to Asharq Bloomberg on condition of anonymity. The two countries are now studying financing, implementation and the pipeline’s final capacity, which would be determined…

Egypt and Libya are reportedly nearing a deal to build an 800-kilometer oil pipeline connecting Tobruk with Alexandria, creating a direct route for growing Libyan crude production to reach Egyptian refineries as the war with Iran disrupts Egypt’s traditional Gulf supplies. The proposed pipeline would cost more than $1 billion, according to a government official who spoke to Asharq Bloomberg on condition of anonymity. The two countries are now studying financing, implementation and the pipeline’s final capacity, which would be determined…

Egypt and Libya are reportedly nearing a deal to build an 800-kilometer oil pipeline connecting Tobruk with Alexandria, creating a direct route for growing Libyan crude production to reach Egyptian refineries as the war with Iran disrupts Egypt’s traditional Gulf supplies. The proposed pipeline would cost more than $1 billion, according to a government official who spoke to Asharq Bloomberg on condition of anonymity. The two countries are now studying financing, implementation and the pipeline’s final capacity, which would be determined…

The U.S. oil industry got a scare last week. News reports claimed that the Trump administration may be considering an export ban on crude oil and refined petroleum products such as gasoline and diesel in order to bring those prices down—prices which have been elevated considerably by the reduction of oil supplies worldwide in the wake of the Iran war. But a Trump administration spokesperson said the administration has no plans to ban exports of oil or natural gas products. It's important to note that there is an old adage in Washington, D.C.:…

Russia is ramping up work on Iran’s Bushehr nuclear expansion, according to TASS news agency, with Rosatom planning to increase its Russian workforce at the site from 25 to around 100 by autumn as construction advances on two additional reactors, despite the ongoing conflict and intermittent U.S. strikes on key Iranian infrastructure. Rosatom chief Alexey Likhachev said five engineering and technical specialists have recently arrived at Bushehr, with several dozen more due over the next two weeks. The returning personnel are working on the…

Russia is ramping up work on Iran’s Bushehr nuclear expansion, according to TASS news agency, with Rosatom planning to increase its Russian workforce at the site from 25 to around 100 by autumn as construction advances on two additional reactors, despite the ongoing conflict and intermittent U.S. strikes on key Iranian infrastructure. Rosatom chief Alexey Likhachev said five engineering and technical specialists have recently arrived at Bushehr, with several dozen more due over the next two weeks. The returning personnel are working on the…

Central Asia’s energy market is experiencing a rapid shake-up thanks to Ukraine’s drone campaign against Russian energy infrastructure. Russia stands to lose leverage and market share in the region over the long term as Central Asian states rush to diversify their fuel-supply options. Repeated Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries have caused the Kremlin to limit exports of fuel products, including gasoline and jet fuel, to cope with deepening domestic shortages. That, in turn, is prompting Central Asian states to scramble for alternate…

The biggest Indian state-controlled refiners that have been selling liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) on the retail market have seen their losses on these sales narrow so far in August, an Indian energy ministry official said on Monday. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd., Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) have seen their losses narrow nearly threefold this month compared to July, India's junior oil minister Suresh Gopi told Parliament in a written reply on Monday, carried by Reuters. The revenue…

The biggest Indian state-controlled refiners that have been selling liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) on the retail market have seen their losses on these sales narrow so far in August, an Indian energy ministry official said on Monday. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd., Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) have seen their losses narrow nearly threefold this month compared to July, India's junior oil minister Suresh Gopi told Parliament in a written reply on Monday, carried by Reuters. The revenue…

Money managers have reduced their bullish bets on both Brent and WTI crude futures over the past two weeks despite little progress on a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. In the latest reporting week to August 4, portfolio managers trimmed their net long position in NYMEX WTI by 7,257 lots to 101,050 lots, data from the exchanges found. The net long position, the difference between bullish and bearish bets, in ICE Brent crude oil futures was slashed by 11%, or by 20,361 lots to 164,722 lots. This was the second consecutive weekly decline…

Shares in Australia-listed Sunrise Energy Metals Ltd (SRL:ASX) jumped by 29% at opening on Monday after the U.S. Department of War announced a conditional commitment for a US$400-million loan for the company to build out its scandium operations. The Department of War’s Office of Strategic Capital (OSC) conditionally committed up to US$400 million under a proposed 25-year debt facility for development of the Syerston Scandium Project, the U.S. Administration said on Friday. Sunrise Energy Metals owns the Syerston Scandium Project in New South…

Crude oil prices began this week with a gain following a statement by Iran setting six demands for a peace deal with the United States and claims from the Houthis that they had struck an Aramco refinery in Jazan. At the time of writing, Brent crude was trading at $84.24 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate changing hands for $78.70 per barrel. Both benchmarks are off their spring peaks but still elevated from pre-war times. Iran said over the weekend that it will only reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the United States meets six sweeping demands,…