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Updated: 2 hours 42 min ago

Why Venezuela’s Oil Comeback Is Proving Harder Than Trump Expected

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 23:00
After U.S. forces snatched Nicolas Maduro in a daring night raid earlier this month, President Donald Trump began pressing oil companies to invest in Venezuela’s heavily corroded petroleum industry. The U.S. president eagerly urged drillers to invest in Venezuela, which sits atop the world’s largest oil reserves, with Washington’s protection. But those overtures received a lukewarm reception from U.S. and European energy companies. ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods called Venezuela uninvestable provoking Trump’s ire, but some…
Categories: Oil news

Brazil’s First Major Energy M&A of 2026 Puts Brava Energia on the Map

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 22:00
Brazilian independent Brava Energia’s acquisition of Petronas’ 50% non-operating share in the Tartaruga Verde and Espadarte Module III assets in Brazil marks the country’s first major merger and acquisition (M&A) deal of 2026 and follows the trend of local independents consolidating stronger positions in the offshore sector. Upon completion of the $450 million deal, Brava Energia will have the capacity to produce over 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day and could enter the ranks of the country’s top five…
Categories: Oil news

US Oil Drilling Continues to Flounder

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 21:18
The total number of active drilling rigs for oil and gas in the United States rose by 2 this week, according to new data that Baker Hughes published on Friday, bringing the total rig count in the US  to 546 this week, down 36 from this same time last year. The number of active oil rigs stayed at 411 during the latest reporting period, according to the data. This is 68 below this same time last year. The number of gas rigs rose by 3, reaching 125, which is 27 more than this time last year. The miscellaneous rig count slipped by 1 and now is…
Categories: Oil news

Russia’s Nuclear Agency Is Desperate to Reset Ties With Uzbekistan

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 20:00
Eager to counter a spreading perception of unreliability due to financial woes, Rosatom, Russia’s nuclear energy agency, is trying to double down on its construction promises to build up Uzbekistan’s nuclear energy capacity. Instead of just building reactors, Rosatom is now proposing to create a “nuclear cluster” in Uzbekistan. Rosatom boss Alexei Likhachev reportedly made the offer during a tête-à-tête with Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev on January 27 in Tashkent. The proposed cluster “would…
Categories: Oil news

OPEC+ Poised to Maintain Oil Output in March as Brent Breaks $70

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 19:30
The OPEC+ group is expected to maintain its oil production policy unchanged this weekend and affirm a pause in output hikes in March even as Brent Crude prices hit $70 per barrel this week for the first time in five months, delegates from the alliance told Reuters on Friday. The OPEC+ group meets online on February 1 to discuss output levels, and it is widely expected to keep oil production levels flat in March, as it had pledged in November to pause hikes for the first quarter. Early this month, the eight OPEC+ members that have been implementing…
Categories: Oil news

Trump's Whiplash Iran Rhetoric Keeps Oil Bulls in Control

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 18:52
Markets looked past rising supply as shifting U.S. rhetoric on Iran and ongoing weather-related disruptions kept risk premiums elevated. Friday, January 30, 2026 Trump’s erratic rhetoric has been greatly supportive of oil prices this week, first promising ‘speed and violence’ to Iran, only to talk about dialogue the next day. The gradual return of Kazakhstan’s shut-in production was not an impediment to see ICE Brent end the week above $70 per barrel, with the bullish sentiment also bolstered by US supply still bearing the…
Categories: Oil news

Glut To Trump Geopolitics to Keep Oil Price around $60 This Year

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 18:30
The global oversupply is set to override geopolitical flare-ups this year, keeping oil prices close to the $60 per barrel mark, the monthly Reuters poll showed on Friday. Brent Crude prices are expected to average $62.02 per barrel in 2026, according to 31 economists and analysts surveyed by Reuters in January. This month’s estimate for the average Brent price this year is higher compared to the December forecast of $61.27. The analysts in the poll expect the U.S. benchmark, WTI Crude, to average $58.72 per barrel in 2026, slightly above…
Categories: Oil news

Iran Appears Unlikely to Bow to Trump’s Threats and Ultimatums

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 18:00
Even as US President Donald Trump threatens to strike Iran, he has repeatedly called on Tehran to “make a deal.” Trump’s demands for an agreement are clear: Iran must end its nuclear program, limit its ballistic missile capabilities, and sever ties with armed proxies in the Middle East. In return, the United States will not attack Iran and remove crippling sanctions. If the Islamic Republic does not accept those terms, Trump has warned that the country will suffer consequences “far worse” than last year, when the United…
Categories: Oil news

Exxon Beats Expectations as Record Production Offsets Lower Oil Prices

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 18:00
Despite lower oil prices, ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) booked higher-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter as quarterly production in the Permian basin and offshore Guyana set new records. Exxon reported on Friday earnings excluding identified items of $7.3 billion for the fourth quarter, or $1.71 per share. This beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.70 per share. Earnings were lower in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, due to lower oil prices and weak chemicals margins.  Early this month, Exxon had flagged an $800 million to $1.2…
Categories: Oil news

Iran Signals Defiance as Trump Escalates Rhetoric

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 17:30
Politics, Geopolitics & Conflict On the US-Iran front, this week was full of bluster with Trump’s trademark tactic of ambiguous escalation, roiling markets and sending gold and crude soaring on apocalyptic hedging. Trump publicly said the U.S. is ready to strike Iran, which was purposefully ambiguous. Alongside the rhetoric, the U.S. military is maintaining an elevated posture in the Middle East. Iran responded on the military front by announcing live-fire drills in and around the Strait of Hormuz with U.S. warships in nearby waters.…
Categories: Oil news

How Libya’s Power Brokers Keep the Oil Flowing

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 17:30
This week, French and U.S. officials convened a quiet meeting in Paris between representatives of Libya’s rival power centers: figures close to Abdulhamid Dbeibah, the Tripoli-based prime minister whose authority rests on control of state finances, and figures aligned with Khalifa Haftar, the eastern commander whose power derives from armed force and oil leverage.  Publicly, the talks were about strengthening Libya’s “institutions” (Central Bank, the NOC, and budget oversight bodies). In practice, they’re about…
Categories: Oil news

Brent Breaks Out to 5-Month High on Geopolitical Risk

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 17:30
Iran Tensions Put Risk Premium Front and Center The biggest driver this week has been a sharp escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions, injecting a sizeable risk premium into both benchmarks. Reports that President Trump is considering targeted strikes on Iranian leadership have pushed Brent to around $70.70 and WTI to the mid-$60s—the highest levels since mid-2025. Trump warned Tehran it faces military force unless it accepts a new nuclear deal, with talk of a "massive armada" headed toward the region. The U.S. has reinforced its naval presence…
Categories: Oil news

In Defense of The Fed and of Not Cutting Interest Rates

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 17:30
If you will forgive me, I intend this week to write about something other than energy. Or, at least, not to address energy stocks or commodity prices directly. US interest rates, often considered a somewhat boring, nerdy storyline by many traders and investors, are still one of the biggest factors in determining the prospects for the global, as well as the American, economy.  It is, therefore, essential that investors in energy, as just about the most sensitive sector to global conditions, follow the ongoing saga at the Fed. As I write, on…
Categories: Oil news

European Natural Gas Prices Surge as Winter Cold and Geopolitics Collide

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 17:00
Europe’s benchmark natural gas prices were headed on Friday for their largest monthly gain since 2023 as cold snaps in January boosted heating and power demand and fast-draining storage sites fueled a market rally. The front-month Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures, the benchmark for Europe’s gas trading, were on track for a 38% monthly gain on Friday, the biggest advance in one month since the summer of 2023, when a supply crunch sent prices skyrocketing. On Friday morning in Amsterdam, the benchmark price was 1.3% higher on the day, at…
Categories: Oil news

Chevron Beats Profit Estimates as It Commits to Venezuela

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 16:00
Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) reported on Friday consensus-beating earnings for the fourth quarter as it pledged to boost presence in Venezuela, where it is currently the only U.S. company authorized to operate. Chevron reported today adjusted earnings of $3.0 billion, or $1.52 per share, for the fourth quarter of 2025. While the profit was lower compared to the same period of 2024 – as widely expected due to lower oil prices – Chevron’s earnings beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.42 per share compiled by The Wall Street…
Categories: Oil news

Britain’s Octopus Energy Takes a Big Bet on China’s Clean Power Markets

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 15:00
The UK’s largest energy supplier, Octopus Energy, is entering the Chinese market with a joint venture to trade renewable power in the world’s top clean energy market. Octopus Energy announced the deal on Friday, as the UK’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer is on an official visit to China to restart UK-Chinese relations. As part of an agreement with China’s PCG Power, Octopus Energy will form a joint venture to trade renewable energy across the world’s largest clean energy market. The joint venture is also a major step…
Categories: Oil news

Venezuela Rewrites Its Oil Law to Attract Foreign Investment

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 13:30
Venezuelan legislators have voted for an updated oil industry law that the country’s leadership hopes will bring in much-needed foreign investment to reverse a decline resulting from mismanagement and U.S. sanctions. Acting President Delcy Rodriguez signed the new law late on Thursday, the AP reported, hours after the parliament voted in favor of it, and on the heels of news that the U.S. has lifted some of the sanctions against Venezuela’s oil industry in a bid to entice energy companies to consider investing in the country. It was…
Categories: Oil news

Venezuela Rewrites Its Oil Law to Attract Foreign Investment

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 13:30
Venezuelan legislators have voted for an updated oil industry law that the country’s leadership hopes will bring in much-needed foreign investment to reverse a decline resulting from mismanagement and U.S. sanctions. Acting President Delcy Rodriguez signed the new law late on Thursday, the AP reported, hours after the parliament voted in favor of it, and on the heels of news that the U.S. has lifted some of the sanctions against Venezuela’s oil industry in a bid to entice energy companies to consider investing in the country. It was…
Categories: Oil news

StanChart: Bearish Oil Glut Narrative Fades as Brent Breaks $70

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 04:00
Oil prices surged to their highest level in months in Wednesday's session after reports emerged that U.S. President Donald Trump is weighing targeted strikes on Iranian military positions as he pursues regime change. Brent crude for March delivery was up 3.63% to trade at $70.92 per barrel at 12.40 pm ET, marking the first time Brent has crossed the pivotal $70 per barrel mark since July 2025, while the corresponding WTI contract gained 3.72% to $65.49. Unrest in the OPEC-producing country has left thousands dead, with a U.S.-based rights group…
Categories: Oil news

Colombia Turns to LNG as Domestic Gas Runs Out

Fri, 01/30/2026 - 03:00
Colombia’s natural gas market is entering a period of sustained pressure as domestic production declines, new supply remains years away, and dependence on imported LNG deepens. The depletion of mature onshore fields, the freeze on new exploration licences, and delays in expanding import and transport infrastructure are converging at a time of rising demand, leaving regasification capacity as the main short-term buffer against widening supply deficits. The decline in domestic output began in 2023 and has continued as legacy fields –…
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